Biden looking surprised.

Biden Barrels Ahead In New Poll Showing 7-Point Lead Over Trump, Voters Weigh In 

A new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist national poll shows Biden seven points ahead of Trump in a hypothetical 2024 race that includes third-party candidate RFK, Jr. Voters had differing opinions on the poll’s implications. 

Note: Note: Some quotes in this piece have been lightly edited for grammar. 

The Poll in Question

People voting.
Photo Credit: via

The national poll consisted of 1,313 adults surveyed on October 11th via a phone call, text, or online survey.  It revealed that RFK Jr’s presence in the race gave Biden a significant lead by pulling more votes from Trump. 

The Plan Backfired 

Person looking through a hole.
Photo Credit: Depositphotos.

Because RFK Jr. originally campaigned as a Democrat, many believed his independent run would pull from Biden’s numbers. “The funny thing is I’m pretty sure RFK was running to take away Biden’s votes. It’s just backfiring,” one person noted.  

Vaccine Hesitancy 

Man in a mask and covering his mouth with his glove.
Photo Credit: Depositphotos.

Many pointed out that the COVID-19 pandemic changed many Republicans’ stance on vaccines. RFK, Jr. is well known for his vaccine skepticism, which may have pushed more right-wing voters toward him. 

Come Home To Roost 

Man standing in front of Democrat and Republican symbol.
Photo Credit: Delphotostock via

Others thought the poll presented an unlikely scenario. “Third-party candidates always look more viable a year out,” one commenter said. “Most voters (including supposed ‘independents’) come home to either the Dems or GOP by election time.”

Still Significant

Man looking through a magnifying glass.
Photo Credit: Depositphotos.

“When is the last time a third-party candidate polled this high, though?” Another asked in response. “Ross Perot? He definitely had an influence on the final elections, even though the actual vote totals were smaller than the polls.”

Gives It To Biden

People raising hands.
Photo Credit: Iryna via

Many commenters agreed that RFK Jr’s impact on the 2024 election would be real. “RFK is that ‘not Trump, not Biden’ option,” one person said, noting that a significant number of voters have voiced their distaste for either candidate. 

Changing Tides 

Big wave in Hawaii.
Photo Credit: Derek via

A few thought that Trump’s legal battles would change the tides, either pushing Biden further ahead or rallying Trump’s base. “We’re still too far out,” one commenter noted. “We’re still pre-Trump conviction.”

Not Enough Time

Man holding jail bars.
Photo Credit: BortN66 via

However, several people pointed out that convicting Trump is going to take time. “Let’s be real, we’ll still be pre-conviction on election day,” said one person. “We’ll still have the steady trickle of damaging headlines, but I’d be amazed if any of the trials have started in a year’s time.”

Need A New Candidate

Scale with a man hanging from a balloon.
Photo Credit: Depositphotos.

Some voters thought that a 7-point lead wasn’t enough to secure a win for Biden, and they blamed the Democratic party. “If the Democrats put out a non-geriatric candidate with average charisma, they would probably have a 10-point lead and I’d feel better about this whole thing,” one person noted. 

Trump Will Pull Ahead

Trump giving a speech.
Photo Credit: gints.ivuskans via

“All of right-wing media has been fawning over Kennedy for the last year when it was in their interest,” one person said. “Once the machine really starts to turn on him, that support will evaporate.” Many seconded the idea that Trump’s support would continue to grow as Kennedy’s faded. 

Not a Concern

Woman shaking finger.
Photo Credit: alonaphoto via

Still, others thought Trump wouldn’t even manage to win his primary. “When are dems gonna stop using Trump as a hypothetical opponent? He’s not going to be in the race,” one person stated. “It’s going to be Joe Biden vs Nikki Haley, so all need to buckle up,” hypothesized another.  

Too Far Out

Man shrugging.
Photo Credit: Wayhome Studio via

Many people noted that polls taken over a year out have little utility. “I wish people would stop flipping out over polls every single day. It’s like asking someone who isn’t a meteorologist to accurately predict the weather a month out,” one person noted. 

Worthless Information

Man looking offended.
Photo Credit: Victor Koldunov via

“Just like the polls that show the President losing to Trump, the polls are meaningless this far out. There is over a year before [the] elections. Even those polls a month out will be little more than throwing darts,” another commenter said. 

Can’t Capture MAGA

Trump hat.
Photo Credit: Alexander via

Another person noted that getting data on Trump supporters is particularly tricky. “This is a demographic of people that distrusts the academic and media institutions that are conducting these polls and largely refuses to participate,” they said. “They represent a void in the data that makes any conclusions drawn from it suspect.”

Not a Popularity Contest

Pennsylvania state capitol.
Photo Credit: Depositphotos.

“The electoral college is all that matters,” one commenter reminded everyone. “If Biden wins Pennsylvania, which he probably will, he only needs one more so-called toss-up state to put him over 270 electoral college votes.” 

Source: Reddit.

Trump Trailing Biden in Fundraising Dollars

Woman holding a $20 bill.
Photo Credit: pathdoc via

Biden’s campaign announced it brought in over $71 million in third-quarter donations, putting his fundraising effort leaps and bounds ahead of Trump’s.

Trump Trailing Biden in Fundraising Dollars

International Views of Biden and the US

Person making a listening motion.
Photo Credit: kinomaster via

Are international views of Biden and the U.S. positive or negative? Pew Research Center was on a mission to find out, and these were the results.

International Views of Biden and the U.S., According to Pew Research Center

15 Things Biden Has Done Utterly Wrong

Person with their head in the sand.
Photo Credit: gstockstudio via

Biden has struggled with low approval numbers throughout his presidency. These are the top things Biden has done wrong, according to Americans.

15 Things Biden Has Done Utterly Wrong

28 Most Liberal Countries in the World

Paper saying conservative and liberal.
Photo Credit: zimmytws via

Regardless of what side of the political spectrum you’re on, it’s fair to say that the U.S. is more socially liberal than many countries. But for pro-liberals, it’s disappointing (albeit perhaps not surprising) that these 28 countries are more liberal than the U.S.

28 Most Liberal Countries in the World That’ll Make American Democrats Jealous

25 Most Expensive American Cities

A fork through two 50 dollar bills.
Photo Credit: Depositphotos.

Living in America isn’t cheap, but the cost of living in some cities is downright outrageous. The rankings are about as blue as each state’s political makeup.

25 Most Expensive Cities in America Breaking Bank Accounts

About The Author

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Scroll to Top